Economists have long pushed for prediction markets. The reality is not what they’d hoped for
General Idaho
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June 21, 2026
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By Allison Morrow, CNN New York (CNN) — Long before the founders of Kalshi and Polymarket were even born, a handful of economists were getting amped about a novel approach to dealing with one of humanity’s more egregious shortcomings: We’re bad at predicting the future. Maybe, the thinking went, the free market could help. (This
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